Tusker FC vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SON
0 - 1
TUS
22%
29%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TUS
1 - 1
NAI
74%
19%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
TUS
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
TUS
2 - 1
MUH
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
USH
1 - 1
TUS
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
SOF
3 - 2
AFC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
GOR
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ULI
2 - 2
AFC
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
WES
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |