RW Koblenz vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
7º
9
10º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RW Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
KOB
0 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VRB
1 - 3
KOB
17%
19%
65%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KOB
5 - 0
PFE
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BIT
0 - 2
KOB
13%
17%
71%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
KOB
2 - 3
ARL
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 2
EIN
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 0
AUE
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 3
KAI
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 0
AUE
13%
17%
70%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -2 |