TuS Neuendorf vs SG Egelsbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Neuendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
GOP
3 - 1
TUN
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
TUN
1 - 4
LEV
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
FCB
41%
22%
38%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
STP
1 - 2
TUN
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
TUN
5 - 2
WER
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
SG Egelsbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
EGE
0 - 2
OSN
18%
18%
65%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
FCM
0 - 3
EGE
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |