TuS Montabaur vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Montabaur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2000 |
RWH
1 - 0
TUM
59%
22%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
TUM
2 - 0
SAA
24%
25%
50%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
TUM
1 - 1
PFE
34%
27%
40%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
HAM
3 - 2
TUM
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
WIR
1 - 0
TUM
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 3
PFE
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
WIR
0 - 1
HOM
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
HOM
2 - 2
SAA
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
TUS
3 - 1
HOM
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 1
SVP
64%
23%
14%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |