TUS Makkabi vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
14º
7º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Makkabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
3 - 1
SCS
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAH
2 - 0
TUM
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TUM
0 - 0
TEN
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
TUM
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 2
RFC
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
UNI
27%
20%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
SVS
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
LIC
10%
14%
77%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
1 - 6
SVS
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
ANK
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |