TuS Komet Arsten vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
87.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
15.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.9%
0-4
10.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
90
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 6
OSC
7%
12%
82%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
TKA
91%
7%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WER
12 - 0
TRB
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
WER
3 - 0
WOL
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WER
8 - 0
GEE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 4
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 7
WER
11%
17%
72%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |