TuS Komet Arsten vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
GEE
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
BTN
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
5 - 0
TKA
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 5
WER
3%
10%
88%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
TRB
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
1 - 2
SVH
17%
19%
63%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WER
4 - 0
VAB
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
OBE
18%
17%
65%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 3
VAB
30%
21%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |