TuS Komet Arsten vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
GEE
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
BTN
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
5 - 0
TKA
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 5
WER
3%
10%
88%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
TRB
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
1 - 2
SVH
17%
19%
63%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WER
4 - 0
VAB
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
OBE
18%
17%
65%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 3
VAB
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |