TuS Komet Arsten vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
42
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 0
TKA
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 2
TKA
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 2
TRB
22%
19%
59%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WER
12 - 0
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
TKA
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
UNI
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
BTN
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
BLU
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 2
UNI
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |