TuS Komet Arsten vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 1
TKA
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TKA
8 - 2
BUR
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 5
SFL
10%
15%
76%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TSS
2 - 3
UNI
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BRE
10 - 0
UNI
93%
6%
1%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
WER
5%
11%
85%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 1
UNI
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |