TuS Komet Arsten vs TuRa Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
33
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WER
12 - 0
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
TKA
85%
10%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 5
TKA
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OSC
3 - 0
TKA
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 1
SGA
9%
14%
78%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 1
TRB
38%
21%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 3
WER
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
TRB
74%
14%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
TRB
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRB
3 - 2
OSC
17%
17%
66%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |