TuS Komet Arsten vs SV Lemwerder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TKA
3 - 1
TFA
95%
4%
1%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
TRB
2 - 4
TKA
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 1
TKA
11%
15%
74%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TKA
3 - 2
DJB
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TKA
4 - 0
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SV Lemwerder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 2
SVL
38%
21%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OTB
2 - 2
SVL
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SVL
0 - 3
BOR
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TFA
1 - 3
SVL
6%
12%
82%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SVL
0 - 2
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |