TuS Komet Arsten vs SV Hemelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
81.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
68
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BTN
3 - 0
TKA
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 3
WER
56%
20%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 1
VAT
36%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OSC
0 - 1
TKA
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 1
WER
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
VAB
76%
13%
11%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 3
BRE
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SVH
6 - 3
GEE
78%
12%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 3
SVH
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SVH
4 - 3
SGA
63%
17%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |