TuS Komet Arsten vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
73.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
14º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
TKA
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 1
TKA
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
GEE
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 0
TKA
79%
13%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 2
SGA
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OSC
6 - 3
SCH
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OSC
2 - 0
VAT
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OSC
4 - 5
WOL
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WER
1 - 3
OSC
9%
13%
78%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
0 - 4
GEE
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |