TuS Komet Arsten vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
86.7%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.4%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
47
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 6
OSC
7%
12%
82%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
TKA
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAT
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
1 - 3
OBE
17%
16%
67%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 4
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 1
GEE
79%
12%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 5
OBE
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 5
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |