TuS Komet Arsten vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
83%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
44
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
BTN
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
5 - 0
TKA
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 5
WER
3%
10%
88%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEE
25%
19%
56%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 2
VAT
64%
18%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 3
GEE
30%
20%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GEE
7 - 0
BRI
46%
20%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WER
8 - 0
GEE
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |