TuS Komet Arsten vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
68.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
42
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 1
TKA
63%
18%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAB
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
GEE
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
BTN
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
5 - 0
TKA
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 4
TRB
49%
20%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
WER
5 - 2
BLU
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 5
OBE
17%
17%
66%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LEH
4 - 3
BLU
18%
18%
65%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
5 - 3
BLU
23%
19%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -3 |