TuS Komet Arsten vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
48.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
14º
34
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
6 - 3
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TKA
3 - 4
OSC
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
TKA
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 2
VAT
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 0
BLU
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 3
GEE
15%
17%
69%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 4
BLU
31%
21%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 0
BLU
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |