TuS Koblenz vs Sportfreunde Eisbachtal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
4º
21
9º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KOB
1 - 0
TUS
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
TUS
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
TUS
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 0
DIE
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EIS
0 - 4
PIR
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
3 - 0
EIS
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIS
2 - 0
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 3
EIS
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
3 - 2
EPP
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |