TuS Hordel vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Hordel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
FBI
2 - 1
TUH
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
HUL
0 - 2
TUH
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
TUH
1 - 2
BOC
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SOI
1 - 2
TUH
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
TUH
1 - 3
LIP
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
BOR
3 - 0
LSV
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BOR
1 - 1
WAT
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ERH
2 - 1
BOR
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BOR
5 - 2
FBI
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BOR
2 - 2
HUL
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |