TUS Heiligenkreuz vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
10º
48
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 2
HGK
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HGK
0 - 0
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 0
HGK
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 7
SVT
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
HGK
2 - 0
SVG
75%
15%
11%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TSH
3 - 0
GNA
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SVW
1 - 3
TSH
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
ILZ
28%
21%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAF
3 - 2
TSH
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 7
OBR
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |