TUS Heiligenkreuz vs SC Fürstenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
14º
9º
36
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VOI
2 - 1
HGK
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HGK
3 - 6
ILZ
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
GNA
2 - 0
HGK
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HGK
0 - 0
MET
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LEB
2 - 3
HGK
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Fürstenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FUR
2 - 0
LIE
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
FUR
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FUR
4 - 1
SVW
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SCB
4 - 1
FUR
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 2
LAF
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |