TUS Heiligenkreuz vs Kindberg-Mürzhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
12º
8º
11
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 3
ALL
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
1 - 3
HGK
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HGK
0 - 0
KAL
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVT
4 - 1
HGK
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
HGK
2 - 3
ANN
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kindberg-Mürzhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 4
UGA
10%
14%
76%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
3 - 2
KIN
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 3
LEB
13%
16%
72%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 1
KIN
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 2
LAF
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +3 |