TUS Heiligenkreuz vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
14º
9º
49
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JUD
1 - 0
HGK
4%
10%
86%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HGK
3 - 1
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SVF
1 - 1
HGK
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 2
HGK
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
HGK
2 - 2
UGA
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FEH
3 - 1
LIE
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
FEH
70%
16%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FEH
3 - 1
SVW
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SCB
5 - 1
FEH
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FEH
1 - 0
LAF
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |