TuS Geretsried vs Chiemgau Traunstein analysis


15	ELO	14
-0.5%	Tilt	-2.8%
11235º	General ELO ranking	11576º
585º	Country ELO ranking	620º
ELO win probability

53%

TuS Geretsried

21.4%

Draw

25.6%

Chiemgau Traunstein

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

53%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%

21.4%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

21.4%

25.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%