TuS Bovinghausen vs SC Verl II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+148%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
16º
18º
19º
7
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 66 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 65 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 63 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 62 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 62 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 57 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 56 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 54 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 48 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 46 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 42 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 40 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 39 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 30 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
0 | 20 |
19º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Bovinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
TUS
69%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 5
CON
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SVR
2 - 1
TUS
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 8
ENN
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
TUS
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
RWA
31%
20%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LIP
0 - 2
SCV
77%
13%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
0 - 0
BOC
24%
20%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIE
3 - 1
SCV
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
WER
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |