TuS Bersenbrück vs MTV Eintracht Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
13º
4º
49
6º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
TUB
2 - 1
SPO
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TUB
3 - 0
WER
13%
19%
69%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
TUB
0 - 4
BWL
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
LIP
3 - 1
TUB
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
TUB
0 - 1
RWA
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
MTV Eintracht Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MEC
2 - 1
GIF
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HSC
2 - 1
MEC
19%
18%
62%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MEC
4 - 1
WOL
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ENM
2 - 3
MEC
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MEC
6 - 0
SVG
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |