TuS Bersenbrück vs Hannoverscher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
1º
32
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 1
TUB
18%
20%
63%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
TUB
19%
20%
62%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TUB
3 - 2
VOR
74%
16%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 1
HEE
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
4 - 2
TUB
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hannoverscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 3
BSV
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 1
HSC
42%
23%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 2
EIB
55%
21%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
HSC
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 0
AHA
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |