TuS Bersenbrück vs Germania Egestorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
13º
4º
65
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BWP
0 - 4
TUB
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TUB
1 - 1
ROT
71%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAE
2 - 2
TUB
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TUB
2 - 2
SCH
56%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 4
TUB
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Germania Egestorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GER
1 - 0
GIF
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AHO
0 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
2 - 0
BWP
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
ROT
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GER
4 - 2
SCH
66%
18%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |