Turris Neapolis vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TUR
84%
13%
3%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SOR
3 - 1
TUR
44%
26%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ASD
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
ACI
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCI
3 - 0
MES
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |