Turris Neapolis vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SIC
2 - 3
TUR
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TUR
3 - 3
POM
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
TUR
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 0
TUR
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TUR
2 - 3
SAN
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 0
GRA
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
4 - 0
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCI
34%
25%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |