Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-4
Turnovo vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 2
HTR
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VAR
5 - 0
HTR
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
HTR
3 - 0
RAB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
HTR
2 - 4
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
NAP
0 - 2
HTR
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 2
HTR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
SUD
3 - 0
FAS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 2
SUD
24%
25%
52%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
ZAL
2 - 0
SUD
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |