Türkspor Augsburg vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
11º
43
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkspor Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 2
TUR
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
HEI
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
RAI
59%
20%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
3 - 0
TUR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 1
UNT
55%
20%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
186
2 - 0
UNT
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SON
1 - 0
186
22%
24%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 1
186
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
186
3 - 0
DEI
33%
24%
44%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
MEM
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |