Turkmenistan vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TKM
1 - 0
KGZ
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
TKM
1 - 0
IND
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
PRK
1 - 1
TKM
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SGP
4 - 2
TKM
57%
21%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
VIE
1 - 0
TKM
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
TJK
3 - 0
MMR
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
1 - 3
TJK
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 2
BGD
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
0 - 1
TJK
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
YEM
2 - 1
TJK
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |