Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BHR
1 - 1
TKM
79%
14%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
IDN
2 - 0
TKM
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
TKM
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BHR
1 - 0
TKM
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BGD
1 - 2
TKM
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
VIE
0 - 2
UZB
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UZB
3 - 3
MEX
15%
22%
63%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UZB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UZB
1 - 1
VEN
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |