Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
QAT
5 - 0
TKM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ARM
1 - 0
TKM
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
UZB
1 - 0
KSA
16%
22%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
IRQ
0 - 1
UZB
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
UZB
3 - 0
PLE
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
AZE
3 - 1
UZB
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TWN
0 - 1
UZB
7%
13%
80%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |