Turkmenistan vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
SYR
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
SYR
1 - 1
TKM
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
AFG
0 - 2
TKM
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TKM
11 - 0
AFG
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LKA
3 - 0
LAO
53%
22%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
LAO
0 - 0
LKA
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
UAE
3 - 0
LKA
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
UAE
3 - 1
LKA
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |