Turkmenistan vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
QAT
5 - 0
TKM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ARM
1 - 0
TKM
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TKM
3 - 1
IDN
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
IRQ
0 - 1
UZB
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 3
JOR
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 0
IRQ
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
2 - 1
PLE
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |