WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Turkmenistan vs Camboya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
KHM
0 - 1
TKM
25%
22%
53%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LTU
2 - 1
TKM
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 0
TKM
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
SOM
2 - 8
TKM
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
2 - 0
TKM
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Camboya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
KHM
0 - 1
TKM
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KHM
1 - 5
SYR
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
1 - 1
KHM
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
KGZ
4 - 3
KHM
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
IND
6 - 0
KHM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |