Turkmenistan vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
0 - 1
UZB
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
QAT
5 - 0
TKM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
KSA
1 - 1
KWT
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
1 - 2
IRQ
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
UZB
1 - 0
KSA
16%
22%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |