Turkmenistan vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 2
TKM
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
SYR
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
SYR
1 - 1
TKM
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
AFG
0 - 2
TKM
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 0
IDN
37%
24%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
IDN
80%
15%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 1
IDN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
IDN
0 - 6
KSA
11%
19%
69%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
IDN
2 - 2
YEM
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |