WC Qual. Asia Segunda ronda Final
Global 3-0
Turkmenistan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HKG
0 - 0
TKM
38%
23%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TKM
4 - 1
KHM
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
KHM
0 - 1
TKM
25%
22%
53%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LTU
2 - 1
TKM
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 0
TKM
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HKG
0 - 0
TKM
38%
23%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
HKG
8 - 1
TLS
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TLS
2 - 3
HKG
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
1 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
15 - 1
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |