WC Qual. Asia Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 13-0
Turkmenistan vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
TKM
1 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
UAE
1 - 1
TKM
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
TKM
1 - 0
UAE
22%
24%
55%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
GAM
4 - 1
TKM
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
NPL
4 - 0
AFG
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
KGZ
1 - 2
AFG
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
PAK
1 - 0
AFG
36%
23%
40%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
IND
4 - 0
AFG
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
LKA
1 - 0
AFG
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |