Türkgücü Friedberg vs SV Steinbach 1920 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
12º
3º
27
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkgücü Friedberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
4 - 3
TUR
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
HSC
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 4
TUR
29%
21%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
TUR
17%
18%
66%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 3
EIN
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SV Steinbach 1920
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
STE
2 - 2
TSV
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STE
1 - 3
SUF
57%
19%
24%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
STE
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 3
STE
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STE
3 - 0
HSC
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |