Türkgücü Friedberg vs Hanauer SC 1960 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
12º
3º
28
2º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkgücü Friedberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 4
TUR
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
TUR
17%
18%
66%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 3
EIN
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
TUR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 0
RWW
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hanauer SC 1960
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
HSC
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 3
TSV
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STE
3 - 0
HSC
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
2 - 1
SVA
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 2
HSC
28%
20%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |