Türkgücü Friedberg vs FC Erlensee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
10º
1º
27
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkgücü Friedberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HSC
0 - 5
TUR
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 1
WAL
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
5 - 3
HUN
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RWW
2 - 3
TUR
28%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
BAY
65%
18%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 2
BAU
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUN
4 - 2
FCE
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 1
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
MAR
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EDD
1 - 0
FCE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |