Turgutluspor vs MKE Kırıkkalespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
16º
15º
28
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 41.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KAH
4 - 0
TUR
14%
17%
69%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
ASP
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUY
1 - 1
TUR
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
POL
4 - 3
TUR
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
MKE Kırıkkalespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
2 - 0
SGS
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 4
KIR
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 1
KIR
73%
17%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EDI
2 - 1
KIR
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
KAH
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |