Turgutluspor vs 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
4º
31
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
TUR
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
KAR
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 1
TUR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SIL
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ERG
1 - 2
TUR
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
1954 Kelkit Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 0
PAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
YAS
0 - 1
KEL
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 1
EBE
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 1
KEL
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KEL
2 - 0
HAC
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |