Turgutluspor vs Aliaga FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
ELA
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
TUR
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 1
ERG
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
TUR
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
GUM
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
2 - 0
IKG
25%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 1
AFK
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
1 - 1
KEP
9%
19%
72%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |