Turgutluspor vs Ağrı Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
13º
9º
0
10º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 42 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
19% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
POL
4 - 3
TUR
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
NBF
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 3
BAT
23%
28%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAZ
2 - 0
TUR
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
ASP
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 1
KIR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAH
1 - 0
ASP
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KUS
1 - 0
ASP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
DAR
54%
27%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |