Turan-T vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
6º
4º
43
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 19% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
20% | 47% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
63% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 2
TUR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SEB
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 1
TUR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 3
TUR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCK
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
QAR
32%
26%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |